“Buy Gold”, Short The Central Banks

Peter’s Commentary

Jim Sinclair has been urging his subscribers at jsmineset.com for years to buy gold and thus become their own central bank.

Now Marc Faber is essentially saying the same.

From GoldCore.com, February 4, 2015

Faber: “Only one way to short central banks and that is to buy gold”.

Marc Faber warned at the weekend that 2015 may be the year that investors will lose confidence in central banks and that investors will “suddenly realise what a scam that central banking is”.

He is long gold and recently bought more gold and investors should buy gold and short sectors such as biotech and social media.

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When interviewed by Jack Otter of Barron’s.com, Marc Faber, the author of The Gloom, Boom and Doom said that it is technically impossible to short the central banks. However he said that it can be done by proxy by buying gold and silver.

In a Barron’s video interview published by the Wall Street Journal, ‘Dr. Doom’ said,

I think that my bet is that if I could short central banks I would short central banks in 2015 because I think that investors will suddenly realize what a scam central banking is and then they will lose confidence. And there is only one way to short central banks and that is to buy gold.

In January he said at a Societe Generale presentation that he expected to price of gold to go “up substantially – say 30%” in 2015. Dr. Faber has an impressive track record of accurately predicting medium term patterns within the overall long-term trend.

He sees an anaemic economic performance from Europe this year, he thinks the U.S. is slowing and his attitude to emerging markets has cooled. “In some [emerging market] countries they may be growing 1-2%, in others there is a contraction in industrial production. The Chinese economy which is the dominant emerging economy in the  world is definitely slowing down.”

Alone among the emerging markets, India is still growing impressively at 5-6%. However, Dr. Faber does not see the enormous gains made in some sectors of the Indian economy – the stock market rallied 35% last year- and those of other emerging markets continuing.

“A lot of markets are not terribly expensive but [they] are not bargains,” he said.

Ultimately he sees the global economy continuing to slow down. “In general, if you look at global exports they are flat, if you look at the global reserve accumulation they are flat. So I think that we will face a disappointing 2015 in terms of economic growth.”

He added that while China is slowing down he expects the stock markets to perform reasonably well due to the distorting influence of central banks.

There is a lot central bank interventions and expectations by investors what the central bank will do next and so investors pile into stocks in the expectation that the Bank of China will essentially ease.

When asked where one should invest their money he indicated that his main strategy currently was to short various sectors rather than shorting companies.

In particular he singled out the biotech industry and with less enthusiasm social media and semiconductor ETFs. He was considering shorting the Australian dollar and indicated that the U.S. dollar was also in his sights while he thinks the euro is oversold in the short-term.

While he sees mainly shorting opportunities, he is long gold, prefers physical gold and opts for storage in Singapore:

Yes I am long gold. I’ve been long gold since the mid 1990’s and I bought recently again more. <More>

 

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