Jobs Report Overwhelmingly Positive, But…

Peter’s Commentary:

Friday’s job report was overwhelmingly positive for the US economy.

Change in Monthly Employment

Change in Monthly Employment Chart from Bureau of Labor Statistics

Employment in January increased by 257,000. And not only that, but November’s figures were revised upward from 353,000 to 423,000. Which is the largest monthly gain in over 4 1/2 years.

December’s employment figures were also revised upward from 252,000 to 329,000.

Safe havens for money flows immediately fell out of favor. Bonds dropped, gold spiked lower, the euro dropped, and the US dollar rose above 94.


Why was there no mention in the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report about job losses in the oil industry?

According to ZeroHedge:

One of the convenient things about the sharp plunge in crude and its subsequent and acute impact on energy company staffing levels, is that due to its concentrated nature one can keep track of precisely how many layoffs corporations in the energy sector were announced in January. And as Bloomberg helpfully tracks, there were at least 18,000 terminations by US companies in the high-paying energy sector (and surely many more that were not accounted for), plus thousands more by foreign companies who have laid off US workers which are not shown in this total.

According to third-party tracker Challenger, Gray & Christmas, the number is roughly the same with 21,322 job cuts in January in the energy space attributed to the tumble in oil prices. Texas alone accounted for 19,833 of these layoffs.

“We may see oil-related job cuts extend well beyond those industries involved with exploration and extraction,” said John A. Challenger, CEO of the outplacement firm. He warned the retail, construction and entertainment sectors in regions that have benefited from the oil boom could face challenges.

The BLS report? Well, according to the January payrolls report, the number of Oil and Gas Extraction workers declined to 199.5K in January from 201.4K in December, a virtually non-existent drop of 1,900 workers (and even the not seasonally adjusted, raw data shows a tiny drop of just 3.1K workers).

Visually, the outlier is as follows:

So our question is: did the BLS choose to ignore these thousands of jobs losses, or did it simply forget? <Source>

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